NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEB MD
Points 69.5 68.2
Total Points   137.7
Points From 2-Pointers 32.7 31.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 22.0
Points From Free Throws 14.9 14.7
Shooting NEB MD
Field Goals Made 23.7 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 59.7
Field Goal % 42.0% 38.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 28.5%
Free Throws Made 14.9 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 20.1
Free Throw % 76.0% 73.1%
Ball Control NEB MD
Rebounds 35.9 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 12.4
Turnovers 11.0 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.6
Steals 5.0 5.7
Fouls 14.6 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Nebraska

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEB MD
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 72.6
% of Possessions with NEB MD
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 30.8%
Player Fouled 21.4% 20.8%
Turnover 15.7% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEB MD
Shot Blocked 7.8% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 31.3%