NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEB NW
Points 75.0 74.3
Total Points   149.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.8 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 26.9 30.2
Points From Free Throws 15.4 12.1
Shooting NEB NW
Field Goals Made 25.4 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 53.2 60.8
Field Goal % 47.7% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 29.0 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.6% 46.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 26.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 15.4 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 16.0
Free Throw % 76.0% 75.6%
Ball Control NEB NW
Rebounds 34.2 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 9.2
Turnovers 10.8 7.9
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.7
Steals 4.5 6.4
Fouls 13.8 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Northwestern

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEB NW
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 65.0 70.5
% of Possessions with NEB NW
2 Point Attempt 37.5% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 33.0%
Player Fouled 21.3% 19.9%
Turnover 15.6% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEB NW
Shot Blocked 6.1% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 25.0%