NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEB NCST
Points 75.8 76.0
Total Points   151.7
Points From 2-Pointers 33.4 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 28.3 24.5
Points From Free Throws 14.1 13.9
Shooting NEB NCST
Field Goals Made 26.1 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 63.4
Field Goal % 44.5% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 32.5 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 26.2 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 14.1 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 19.0
Free Throw % 76.0% 73.3%
Ball Control NEB NCST
Rebounds 36.8 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 11.3
Turnovers 11.0 7.9
Blocked Shots 1.9 4.1
Steals 4.1 6.8
Fouls 13.1 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Nebraska

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEB NCST
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 75.3
% of Possessions with NEB NCST
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 28.1%
Player Fouled 19.3% 18.2%
Turnover 15.3% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEB NCST
Shot Blocked 6.5% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 28.8%