NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEB MICH
Points 81.7 72.6
Total Points   154.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 32.6
Points From 3-Pointers 27.8 27.6
Points From Free Throws 14.1 12.4
Shooting NEB MICH
Field Goals Made 29.2 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 61.3 60.9
Field Goal % 47.6% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.8% 47.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 26.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 14.1 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 17.5
Free Throw % 76.0% 70.8%
Ball Control NEB MICH
Rebounds 35.6 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 11.4
Turnovers 8.7 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.6
Steals 6.7 4.0
Fouls 13.7 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEB MICH
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 72.3
% of Possessions with NEB MICH
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 31.5%
Player Fouled 19.7% 19.0%
Turnover 12.1% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEB MICH
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 29.9%