NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BYU CIN
Points 73.5 72.5
Total Points   146.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 32.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 29.2
Points From Free Throws 14.7 11.2
Shooting BYU CIN
Field Goals Made 25.6 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 62.2
Field Goal % 42.0% 41.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 35.2
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 26.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 14.7 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 16.1
Free Throw % 75.0% 69.2%
Ball Control BYU CIN
Rebounds 39.3 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 10.6
Turnovers 10.1 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.7
Steals 5.3 5.3
Fouls 13.0 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: BYU

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BYU CIN
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 72.4
% of Possessions with BYU CIN
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 32.2%
Player Fouled 21.0% 18.1%
Turnover 14.1% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken BYU CIN
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 27.2%