NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BYU CIN
Points 76.6 71.9
Total Points   148.4
Points From 2-Pointers 39.1 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 27.1 27.9
Points From Free Throws 10.3 8.6
Shooting BYU CIN
Field Goals Made 28.6 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 63.5
Field Goal % 49.2% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 57.9% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 27.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 10.3 8.6
Free Throws Attempted 14.4 13.5
Free Throw % 71.8% 64.3%
Ball Control BYU CIN
Rebounds 38.1 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 22.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 10.6
Turnovers 12.1 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.8
Steals 5.2 6.7
Fouls 12.3 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: BYU

Expected Effect: +1.0 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BYU CIN
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 71.9
% of Possessions with BYU CIN
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 33.6%
Player Fouled 18.8% 17.6%
Turnover 17.3% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken BYU CIN
Shot Blocked 4.4% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 30.0% 27.0%