NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIUE SLU
Points 72.5 81.5
Total Points   154.0
Points From 2-Pointers 33.4 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.9 26.4
Points From Free Throws 14.2 19.3
Shooting SIUE SLU
Field Goals Made 25.0 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 52.8
Field Goal % 41.0% 50.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 46.6% 56.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 25.2 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 42.2%
Free Throws Made 14.2 19.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 25.7
Free Throw % 73.2% 75.1%
Ball Control SIUE SLU
Rebounds 32.5 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 7.4
Turnovers 8.3 10.3
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.2
Steals 5.8 5.0
Fouls 16.9 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: SIU Edward

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIUE SLU
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 72.6 67.7
% of Possessions with SIUE SLU
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 26.2%
Player Fouled 20.5% 24.0%
Turnover 11.8% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIUE SLU
Shot Blocked 6.2% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 25.1%