NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COFC DEL
Points 78.7 72.0
Total Points   150.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 40.6
Points From 3-Pointers 27.3 19.5
Points From Free Throws 11.5 12.0
Shooting COFC DEL
Field Goals Made 29.0 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 64.8 57.6
Field Goal % 44.8% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 37.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 27.6 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 11.5 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 17.1
Free Throw % 72.3% 70.4%
Ball Control COFC DEL
Rebounds 38.0 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 7.0
Turnovers 7.7 10.3
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.6
Steals 6.2 4.6
Fouls 13.8 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COFC DEL
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 74.6 67.4
% of Possessions with COFC DEL
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 33.1% 24.9%
Player Fouled 17.9% 19.5%
Turnover 10.9% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken COFC DEL
Shot Blocked 4.6% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 30.5% 21.0%