NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COFC PRE
Points 84.6 70.3
Total Points   154.9
Points From 2-Pointers 39.0 38.9
Points From 3-Pointers 29.5 18.9
Points From Free Throws 16.1 12.5
Shooting COFC PRE
Field Goals Made 29.3 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 57.0
Field Goal % 48.9% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 16.1 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 18.9
Free Throw % 72.3% 66.0%
Ball Control COFC PRE
Rebounds 38.6 30.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 7.3
Turnovers 9.3 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.0
Steals 6.1 5.9
Fouls 15.4 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Presbyterian

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COFC PRE
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 73.6 68.1
% of Possessions with COFC PRE
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 23.2%
Player Fouled 21.9% 21.4%
Turnover 12.9% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken COFC PRE
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 32.8% 21.0%