NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIUE CREI
Points 58.6 89.6
Total Points   148.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 37.7
Points From 3-Pointers 16.4 35.8
Points From Free Throws 6.9 16.1
Shooting SIUE CREI
Field Goals Made 23.1 30.8
Field Goals Attempted 68.6 56.3
Field Goal % 33.7% 54.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 50.2 28.5
2 Point Shooting % 35.2% 66.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 18.5 27.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 42.9%
Free Throws Made 6.9 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 9.4 19.9
Free Throw % 73.2% 80.8%
Ball Control SIUE CREI
Rebounds 30.5 43.2
Rebounds - Defensive 20.8 36.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 6.8
Turnovers 6.8 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.9 4.2
Steals 5.1 3.4
Fouls 15.3 9.3

Playing Style Advantage: Creighton

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIUE CREI
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 73.6 68.1
% of Possessions with SIUE CREI
2 Point Attempt 61.1% 36.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 35.4%
Player Fouled 13.1% 21.6%
Turnover 9.6% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 4.7% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIUE CREI
Shot Blocked 7.6% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 24.6%