NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WSU SCU
Points 72.8 66.0
Total Points   138.8
Points From 2-Pointers 40.1 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 16.8 17.9
Points From Free Throws 16.0 12.4
Shooting WSU SCU
Field Goals Made 25.6 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 57.9
Field Goal % 44.4% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 45.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.0 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 16.0 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 17.8
Free Throw % 71.0% 69.6%
Ball Control WSU SCU
Rebounds 37.7 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 9.5
Turnovers 8.4 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.1
Steals 5.0 3.7
Fouls 15.0 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Santa Clara

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WSU SCU
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 68.7
% of Possessions with WSU SCU
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.3% 23.1%
Player Fouled 24.1% 21.5%
Turnover 12.0% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WSU SCU
Shot Blocked 3.6% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 25.7%