NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BYU SCU
Points 79.8 71.4
Total Points   151.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 29.5 20.6
Points From Free Throws 14.7 12.9
Shooting BYU SCU
Field Goals Made 27.6 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 62.8 58.7
Field Goal % 44.0% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 31.6 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 31.2 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 14.7 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 18.6
Free Throw % 72.5% 69.6%
Ball Control BYU SCU
Rebounds 37.5 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 9.0
Turnovers 7.5 11.0
Blocked Shots 2.4 1.9
Steals 5.6 3.6
Fouls 16.4 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Santa Clara

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BYU SCU
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 75.3 70.3
% of Possessions with BYU SCU
2 Point Attempt 37.8% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 37.3% 25.4%
Player Fouled 21.3% 22.7%
Turnover 10.4% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 5.0% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BYU SCU
Shot Blocked 3.2% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 25.0%