NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WSU SCU
Points 78.3 85.9
Total Points   164.2
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.9 36.2
Points From Free Throws 12.7 14.4
Shooting WSU SCU
Field Goals Made 28.5 29.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 64.9
Field Goal % 48.8% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 59.5% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 12.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 30.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 39.1%
Free Throws Made 12.7 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 19.9
Free Throw % 69.2% 72.6%
Ball Control WSU SCU
Rebounds 32.6 38.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 13.7
Turnovers 13.3 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.5
Steals 5.6 7.2
Fouls 14.9 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Santa Clara

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WSU SCU
Total Possessions 74.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 77.4
% of Possessions with WSU SCU
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 37.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 34.2%
Player Fouled 20.7% 19.9%
Turnover 17.7% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken WSU SCU
Shot Blocked 4.0% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 36.2%