NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIUE BEL
Points 66.5 82.2
Total Points   148.7
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.2 31.0
Points From Free Throws 11.8 16.1
Shooting SIUE BEL
Field Goals Made 23.8 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 62.6 54.9
Field Goal % 38.1% 50.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 30.3
2 Point Shooting % 43.4% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 29.5% 42.0%
Free Throws Made 11.8 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 22.1
Free Throw % 73.2% 73.1%
Ball Control SIUE BEL
Rebounds 34.8 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 30.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 6.3
Turnovers 10.3 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.0
Steals 6.0 6.3
Fouls 16.1 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Belmont

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIUE BEL
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.7 67.7
% of Possessions with SIUE BEL
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 37.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 30.7%
Player Fouled 17.8% 22.2%
Turnover 14.3% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIUE BEL
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 20.8%