NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIUE BEL
Points 64.5 80.1
Total Points   144.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.5 40.4
Points From 3-Pointers 16.9 25.9
Points From Free Throws 10.1 13.8
Shooting SIUE BEL
Field Goals Made 24.4 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 59.4
Field Goal % 43.0% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 59.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 25.6
3 Point Shooting % 29.5% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 10.1 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 14.7 18.8
Free Throw % 68.6% 73.7%
Ball Control SIUE BEL
Rebounds 32.3 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 9.5
Turnovers 14.5 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.6 2.5
Steals 5.1 7.8
Fouls 14.3 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: SIU Edward

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIUE BEL
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 70.6
% of Possessions with SIUE BEL
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 30.7%
Player Fouled 18.2% 19.9%
Turnover 20.1% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIUE BEL
Shot Blocked 4.4% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 28.9%