NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WSU UCLA
Points 66.5 59.6
Total Points   126.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 32.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.2 13.0
Points From Free Throws 14.0 14.6
Shooting WSU UCLA
Field Goals Made 23.0 20.4
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 53.5
Field Goal % 43.1% 38.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.0% 40.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 4.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 13.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 14.0 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 19.6
Free Throw % 71.0% 74.3%
Ball Control WSU UCLA
Rebounds 38.0 31.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 8.2
Turnovers 10.2 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.6
Steals 3.8 4.7
Fouls 16.0 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: UCLA

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WSU UCLA
Total Possessions 65.6
Effective Scoring Chances 65.9 65.2
% of Possessions with WSU UCLA
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 53.0%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 18.3%
Player Fouled 25.6% 24.4%
Turnover 15.5% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken WSU UCLA
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 31.2% 22.9%