NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WSU COLO
Points 72.2 70.8
Total Points   143.0
Points From 2-Pointers 44.0 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 16.8 16.1
Points From Free Throws 11.4 15.1
Shooting WSU COLO
Field Goals Made 27.6 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 55.6
Field Goal % 46.7% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 22.0 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 41.4 41.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 17.7 14.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 11.4 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 19.9
Free Throw % 71.0% 76.0%
Ball Control WSU COLO
Rebounds 34.0 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 7.7
Turnovers 9.1 10.2
Blocked Shots 5.1 1.7
Steals 5.2 4.9
Fouls 15.5 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Colorado

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WSU COLO
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 66.8
% of Possessions with WSU COLO
2 Point Attempt 52.4% 52.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 18.0%
Player Fouled 19.0% 22.4%
Turnover 13.1% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WSU COLO
Shot Blocked 3.2% 8.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 23.6%