NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHS STAN
Points 64.7 79.6
Total Points   144.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.8 42.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.1 23.8
Points From Free Throws 11.8 13.6
Shooting CHS STAN
Field Goals Made 23.1 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 53.4
Field Goal % 38.7% 54.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 43.6% 64.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 11.8 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 18.4
Free Throw % 70.5% 73.9%
Ball Control CHS STAN
Rebounds 29.9 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 19.2 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 8.0
Turnovers 11.3 13.7
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.0
Steals 8.1 5.2
Fouls 16.2 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHS STAN
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 65.3
% of Possessions with CHS STAN
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 41.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 26.0%
Player Fouled 17.4% 22.8%
Turnover 15.9% 19.3%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 11.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHS STAN
Shot Blocked 5.7% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 29.5%