NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COFC DREX
Points 75.7 72.5
Total Points   148.2
Points From 2-Pointers 38.0 40.6
Points From 3-Pointers 26.1 19.6
Points From Free Throws 11.6 12.3
Shooting COFC DREX
Field Goals Made 27.7 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 64.1 59.0
Field Goal % 43.3% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 26.3 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 11.6 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 17.4
Free Throw % 72.3% 71.0%
Ball Control COFC DREX
Rebounds 36.2 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 9.4
Turnovers 7.0 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.6
Steals 4.9 4.2
Fouls 13.9 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Drexel

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COFC DREX
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 73.4 69.4
% of Possessions with COFC DREX
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 50.5%
3 Point Attempt 32.1% 22.9%
Player Fouled 19.5% 20.0%
Turnover 10.0% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken COFC DREX
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 27.0%