NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WSU ORE
Points 70.8 67.9
Total Points   138.7
Points From 2-Pointers 38.9 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 18.9 17.0
Points From Free Throws 13.1 13.9
Shooting WSU ORE
Field Goals Made 25.7 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 57.6
Field Goal % 45.3% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 13.1 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 19.0
Free Throw % 71.0% 72.9%
Ball Control WSU ORE
Rebounds 37.8 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 7.9
Turnovers 10.4 8.4
Blocked Shots 4.5 3.0
Steals 4.0 5.7
Fouls 15.3 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Oregon

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WSU ORE
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 68.3
% of Possessions with WSU ORE
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 50.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.8% 22.6%
Player Fouled 21.1% 22.3%
Turnover 15.1% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken WSU ORE
Shot Blocked 5.3% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 22.2%