NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COFC JMU
Points 76.2 80.4
Total Points   156.6
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 41.9
Points From 3-Pointers 26.8 24.9
Points From Free Throws 15.0 13.7
Shooting COFC JMU
Field Goals Made 26.1 29.2
Field Goals Attempted 61.4 61.1
Field Goal % 42.6% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 20.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 27.9 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 15.0 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 19.6
Free Throw % 72.3% 69.7%
Ball Control COFC JMU
Rebounds 37.7 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 9.0
Turnovers 10.7 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.9
Steals 5.3 7.4
Fouls 14.4 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: James Mad

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COFC JMU
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 74.4 72.9
% of Possessions with COFC JMU
2 Point Attempt 38.8% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.3% 26.5%
Player Fouled 20.9% 19.5%
Turnover 14.5% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken COFC JMU
Shot Blocked 4.9% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 25.6%