NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIUE MORE
Points 61.6 76.8
Total Points   138.3
Points From 2-Pointers 31.7 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.2 30.4
Points From Free Throws 12.7 14.0
Shooting SIUE MORE
Field Goals Made 21.6 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 54.1
Field Goal % 36.7% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.1 28.8
2 Point Shooting % 40.5% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.1% 40.1%
Free Throws Made 12.7 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 19.1
Free Throw % 73.2% 73.2%
Ball Control SIUE MORE
Rebounds 31.1 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 29.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 9.0
Turnovers 8.6 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.3
Steals 5.7 5.0
Fouls 14.2 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Morehead St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIUE MORE
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 65.9
% of Possessions with SIUE MORE
2 Point Attempt 49.5% 36.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 32.3%
Player Fouled 20.3% 21.0%
Turnover 12.7% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIUE MORE
Shot Blocked 8.0% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 29.3%