NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU SCAR
Points 74.3 59.0
Total Points   133.3
Points From 2-Pointers 42.1 23.5
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 21.2
Points From Free Throws 12.8 14.3
Shooting HOU SCAR
Field Goals Made 27.5 18.8
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 52.3
Field Goal % 44.9% 36.0%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 11.8
2 Pointers Attempted 42.6 29.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 40.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 30.4%
Free Throws Made 12.8 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 20.2
Free Throw % 71.9% 70.6%
Ball Control HOU SCAR
Rebounds 38.3 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 10.1
Turnovers 6.0 11.8
Blocked Shots 6.8 2.5
Steals 7.4 3.0
Fouls 15.3 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: S Carolina

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU SCAR
Total Possessions 65.6
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 63.9
% of Possessions with HOU SCAR
2 Point Attempt 53.9% 37.0%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 29.7%
Player Fouled 20.5% 23.4%
Turnover 9.2% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 4.6% 11.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOU SCAR
Shot Blocked 5.0% 11.3%
Offensive Rebound 34.3% 28.1%