NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIUE TNTC
Points 70.7 67.6
Total Points   138.3
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.2 20.9
Points From Free Throws 10.8 12.3
Shooting SIUE TNTC
Field Goals Made 26.1 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 52.9
Field Goal % 42.9% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 10.8 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 14.8 17.7
Free Throw % 73.2% 69.5%
Ball Control SIUE TNTC
Rebounds 35.8 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 5.3
Turnovers 8.8 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.5
Steals 6.5 4.2
Fouls 14.5 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: TN Tech

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIUE TNTC
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 62.8
% of Possessions with SIUE TNTC
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 24.6%
Player Fouled 17.8% 21.1%
Turnover 12.7% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIUE TNTC
Shot Blocked 4.7% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 16.9%