NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU TULN
Points 87.4 61.6
Total Points   149.0
Points From 2-Pointers 40.5 24.4
Points From 3-Pointers 31.2 17.5
Points From Free Throws 15.7 19.7
Shooting HOU TULN
Field Goals Made 30.6 18.0
Field Goals Attempted 67.3 48.3
Field Goal % 45.5% 37.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 12.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 29.6
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 41.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.4 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 27.5 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 15.7 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 27.5
Free Throw % 71.9% 71.6%
Ball Control HOU TULN
Rebounds 44.9 29.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 16.3 5.5
Turnovers 7.0 13.8
Blocked Shots 6.9 2.4
Steals 8.9 4.4
Fouls 18.6 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Tulane

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU TULN
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 81.1 63.5
% of Possessions with HOU TULN
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 36.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 23.4%
Player Fouled 20.0% 25.9%
Turnover 9.8% 19.2%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 12.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOU TULN
Shot Blocked 5.1% 10.4%
Offensive Rebound 40.6% 16.2%