NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHS L-MD
Points 69.1 63.1
Total Points   132.1
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 33.2
Points From 3-Pointers 17.0 18.9
Points From Free Throws 15.4 11.0
Shooting CHS L-MD
Field Goals Made 24.0 22.9
Field Goals Attempted 51.9 51.8
Field Goal % 46.3% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 15.4 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 17.1
Free Throw % 70.5% 64.1%
Ball Control CHS L-MD
Rebounds 30.5 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 21.5 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 10.8
Turnovers 9.9 14.2
Blocked Shots 3.3 1.6
Steals 8.3 5.5
Fouls 15.1 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHS L-MD
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 65.7 63.2
% of Possessions with CHS L-MD
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 23.9%
Player Fouled 21.8% 22.6%
Turnover 14.9% 21.3%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 12.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHS L-MD
Shot Blocked 3.1% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 33.5%