NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIUE NIU
Points 71.5 73.7
Total Points   145.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.7 32.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.6 23.7
Points From Free Throws 15.2 17.3
Shooting SIUE NIU
Field Goals Made 24.2 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 62.1 52.8
Field Goal % 39.0% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 31.4
2 Point Shooting % 41.9% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 15.2 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 25.7
Free Throw % 73.2% 67.4%
Ball Control SIUE NIU
Rebounds 36.6 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 8.6
Turnovers 8.6 11.3
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.7
Steals 6.2 3.9
Fouls 18.0 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: SIU Edward

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIUE NIU
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 74.2 68.4
% of Possessions with SIUE NIU
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 38.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 26.4%
Player Fouled 20.0% 25.4%
Turnover 12.1% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIUE NIU
Shot Blocked 9.1% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 25.7%