NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHS KC
Points 63.5 68.5
Total Points   132.0
Points From 2-Pointers 30.3 31.7
Points From 3-Pointers 13.8 23.1
Points From Free Throws 19.4 13.8
Shooting CHS KC
Field Goals Made 19.8 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 48.6 54.2
Field Goal % 40.6% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 30.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.6 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 27.7% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 19.4 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 27.5 19.1
Free Throw % 70.5% 72.1%
Ball Control CHS KC
Rebounds 30.8 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 12.1
Turnovers 12.2 13.4
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.4
Steals 7.5 5.3
Fouls 16.3 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHS KC
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.5 67.2
% of Possessions with CHS KC
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 37.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.0% 28.9%
Player Fouled 25.9% 23.7%
Turnover 17.7% 19.6%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 10.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHS KC
Shot Blocked 6.3% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 35.9%