NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHS CALBA
Points 63.7 69.2
Total Points   132.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 13.3 19.3
Points From Free Throws 12.9 15.0
Shooting CHS CALBA
Field Goals Made 23.2 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 54.2
Field Goal % 42.5% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 14.2 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 12.9 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 21.5
Free Throw % 70.5% 69.6%
Ball Control CHS CALBA
Rebounds 29.9 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 20.9 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 13.0
Turnovers 9.6 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.3
Steals 6.2 3.6
Fouls 16.1 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Cal Baptist

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHS CALBA
Total Possessions 66.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.9 68.1
% of Possessions with CHS CALBA
2 Point Attempt 52.9% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 18.5% 23.7%
Player Fouled 20.8% 24.1%
Turnover 14.4% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHS CALBA
Shot Blocked 4.3% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 38.4%