NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIUE LNDNWD
Points 73.0 63.1
Total Points   136.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.5 30.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 15.2
Points From Free Throws 15.4 17.2
Shooting SIUE LNDNWD
Field Goals Made 24.9 20.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 52.5
Field Goal % 44.4% 38.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 42.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 16.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 30.6%
Free Throws Made 15.4 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 23.7
Free Throw % 73.2% 72.6%
Ball Control SIUE LNDNWD
Rebounds 37.4 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 7.5
Turnovers 9.9 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.7 2.4
Steals 5.7 5.0
Fouls 16.8 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: SIU Edward

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIUE LNDNWD
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 66.1
% of Possessions with SIUE LNDNWD
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 20.9%
Player Fouled 22.0% 24.1%
Turnover 14.2% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIUE LNDNWD
Shot Blocked 4.6% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 21.2%