NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIUE NEOM
Points 69.8 72.6
Total Points   142.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.1 33.8
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 19.0
Points From Free Throws 13.1 19.7
Shooting SIUE NEOM
Field Goals Made 24.4 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 51.8
Field Goal % 41.8% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.5% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 13.1 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 26.3
Free Throw % 73.2% 75.0%
Ball Control SIUE NEOM
Rebounds 34.3 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 7.4
Turnovers 9.2 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.2
Steals 5.0 4.9
Fouls 17.4 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: SIU Edward

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIUE NEOM
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 67.3
% of Possessions with SIUE NEOM
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 23.8%
Player Fouled 20.3% 25.1%
Turnover 13.2% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIUE NEOM
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 22.9%