NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COFC CHAT
Points 81.5 78.1
Total Points   159.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.9 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 36.7 32.3
Points From Free Throws 12.8 12.1
Shooting COFC CHAT
Field Goals Made 28.2 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 67.0 58.9
Field Goal % 42.1% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 30.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.0% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 10.8
3 Pointers Attempted 33.8 28.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 12.8 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 16.0
Free Throw % 72.3% 75.3%
Ball Control COFC CHAT
Rebounds 38.6 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 7.7
Turnovers 7.0 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.0
Steals 6.4 4.8
Fouls 13.2 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Chattanooga

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COFC CHAT
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 77.8 68.6
% of Possessions with COFC CHAT
2 Point Attempt 38.7% 37.3%
3 Point Attempt 39.3% 35.7%
Player Fouled 19.4% 18.4%
Turnover 9.8% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken COFC CHAT
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 31.4% 23.2%