NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHS EIU
Points 68.7 66.9
Total Points   135.6
Points From 2-Pointers 34.5 39.0
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 15.7
Points From Free Throws 16.8 12.3
Shooting CHS EIU
Field Goals Made 23.0 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 50.6 57.0
Field Goal % 45.5% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 32.4 40.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 47.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 16.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 16.8 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 16.7
Free Throw % 70.5% 73.7%
Ball Control CHS EIU
Rebounds 34.1 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 21.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 10.7
Turnovers 12.4 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.9
Steals 6.4 6.6
Fouls 13.5 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: E Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHS EIU
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.7 67.5
% of Possessions with CHS EIU
2 Point Attempt 40.9% 51.2%
3 Point Attempt 22.9% 20.1%
Player Fouled 24.0% 19.9%
Turnover 18.3% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHS EIU
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 32.7% 31.0%