NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIUE EIU
Points 71.1 68.3
Total Points   139.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 18.4
Points From Free Throws 14.6 14.1
Shooting SIUE EIU
Field Goals Made 24.7 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 57.8
Field Goal % 44.4% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 44.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 14.6 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 19.1
Free Throw % 73.2% 73.7%
Ball Control SIUE EIU
Rebounds 36.6 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 8.7
Turnovers 10.8 9.3
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.4
Steals 4.9 6.3
Fouls 13.7 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: SIU Edward

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIUE EIU
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 68.7
% of Possessions with SIUE EIU
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 50.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 21.8%
Player Fouled 22.6% 19.7%
Turnover 15.5% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIUE EIU
Shot Blocked 6.0% 8.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 24.1%