NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIUE ILST
Points 63.2 71.4
Total Points   134.6
Points From 2-Pointers 32.3 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 19.8
Points From Free Throws 10.6 17.3
Shooting SIUE ILST
Field Goals Made 22.9 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 51.5
Field Goal % 39.3% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.2 31.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.9% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 29.3% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 10.6 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 23.7
Free Throw % 73.2% 73.0%
Ball Control SIUE ILST
Rebounds 32.5 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 8.5
Turnovers 9.1 9.7
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.4
Steals 4.6 4.8
Fouls 17.0 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: SIU Edward

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIUE ILST
Total Possessions 66.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 65.5
% of Possessions with SIUE ILST
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 25.9%
Player Fouled 19.6% 25.5%
Turnover 13.7% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIUE ILST
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 27.1%