NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIUE SEMO
Points 72.8 66.8
Total Points   139.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.8 18.5
Points From Free Throws 17.6 12.7
Shooting SIUE SEMO
Field Goals Made 25.0 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 57.6
Field Goal % 44.2% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 18.0 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 17.6 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 18.0
Free Throw % 73.2% 70.6%
Ball Control SIUE SEMO
Rebounds 38.0 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 8.5
Turnovers 9.6 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.6
Steals 6.1 4.5
Fouls 14.8 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: SIU Edward

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIUE SEMO
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 68.2
% of Possessions with SIUE SEMO
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 23.5%
Player Fouled 24.1% 20.9%
Turnover 13.6% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIUE SEMO
Shot Blocked 4.7% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 23.4%