NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIUE KC
Points 65.3 71.2
Total Points   136.5
Points From 2-Pointers 31.1 28.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 27.1
Points From Free Throws 16.9 15.6
Shooting SIUE KC
Field Goals Made 21.3 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 55.1
Field Goal % 39.4% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 14.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 29.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 25.6
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 16.9 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 21.7
Free Throw % 73.2% 72.1%
Ball Control SIUE KC
Rebounds 33.5 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 9.8
Turnovers 10.5 11.3
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.9
Steals 5.7 5.1
Fouls 16.4 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas City

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIUE KC
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 68.5
% of Possessions with SIUE KC
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 36.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 31.5%
Player Fouled 24.4% 23.5%
Turnover 15.0% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIUE KC
Shot Blocked 7.2% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 27.9%