NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU WICH
Points 80.3 55.3
Total Points   135.6
Points From 2-Pointers 41.9 27.7
Points From 3-Pointers 25.4 14.9
Points From Free Throws 13.0 12.7
Shooting HOU WICH
Field Goals Made 29.4 18.8
Field Goals Attempted 66.7 52.6
Field Goal % 44.1% 35.7%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 13.9
2 Pointers Attempted 42.7 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 39.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.0 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 28.7%
Free Throws Made 13.0 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 18.2
Free Throw % 71.9% 69.7%
Ball Control HOU WICH
Rebounds 42.1 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 15.6 9.6
Turnovers 6.2 14.8
Blocked Shots 6.8 2.6
Steals 10.5 4.0
Fouls 13.7 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Houston

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU WICH
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 78.0 63.4
% of Possessions with HOU WICH
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 21.4%
Player Fouled 18.7% 20.0%
Turnover 9.1% 21.6%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 15.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOU WICH
Shot Blocked 5.1% 10.3%
Offensive Rebound 39.0% 26.7%