NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIUE UTM
Points 74.6 80.7
Total Points   155.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 34.7
Points From 3-Pointers 27.4 28.4
Points From Free Throws 11.6 17.6
Shooting SIUE UTM
Field Goals Made 26.9 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 67.1 59.3
Field Goal % 40.1% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 48.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 29.4 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 40.1%
Free Throws Made 11.6 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 23.3
Free Throw % 73.2% 75.6%
Ball Control SIUE UTM
Rebounds 37.1 40.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 32.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 8.4
Turnovers 7.5 9.7
Blocked Shots 4.9 2.8
Steals 5.6 4.4
Fouls 15.7 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: TN Martin

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIUE UTM
Total Possessions 73.8
Effective Scoring Chances 76.6 72.6
% of Possessions with SIUE UTM
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 34.5% 28.1%
Player Fouled 16.8% 21.3%
Turnover 10.1% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIUE UTM
Shot Blocked 4.8% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 23.9%