NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WSU ASU
Points 72.1 62.2
Total Points   134.3
Points From 2-Pointers 38.3 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 15.4
Points From Free Throws 14.0 12.7
Shooting WSU ASU
Field Goals Made 25.8 22.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 57.0
Field Goal % 45.2% 38.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 43.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 28.8%
Free Throws Made 14.0 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 19.4
Free Throw % 71.0% 65.3%
Ball Control WSU ASU
Rebounds 42.8 30.1
Rebounds - Defensive 32.1 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 6.4
Turnovers 11.6 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.9
Steals 4.2 6.6
Fouls 14.9 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Arizona St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WSU ASU
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 68.2
% of Possessions with WSU ASU
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 50.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 22.8%
Player Fouled 21.4% 21.2%
Turnover 16.5% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WSU ASU
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 31.2% 16.6%