NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COFC MRSH
Points 82.0 72.6
Total Points   154.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 36.3
Points From 3-Pointers 32.7 25.3
Points From Free Throws 13.6 11.0
Shooting COFC MRSH
Field Goals Made 28.7 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 65.8 63.6
Field Goal % 43.6% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 46.9%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 28.9 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 13.6 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 15.4
Free Throw % 72.3% 71.7%
Ball Control COFC MRSH
Rebounds 42.6 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 30.1 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 9.3
Turnovers 9.2 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.0
Steals 6.1 6.1
Fouls 12.8 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Col Charlestn

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COFC MRSH
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 77.2 73.2
% of Possessions with COFC MRSH
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 32.9% 29.7%
Player Fouled 18.9% 17.3%
Turnover 12.5% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken COFC MRSH
Shot Blocked 6.4% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 31.5% 23.7%