NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHS TNST
Points 68.3 68.3
Total Points   136.6
Points From 2-Pointers 32.3 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 15.2 16.4
Points From Free Throws 20.8 16.4
Shooting CHS TNST
Field Goals Made 21.2 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 51.7 49.6
Field Goal % 41.0% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 16.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.0% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 20.8 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 29.5 21.6
Free Throw % 70.5% 76.1%
Ball Control CHS TNST
Rebounds 32.9 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 19.9 22.5
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 9.4
Turnovers 11.9 15.2
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.0
Steals 8.9 5.6
Fouls 16.7 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago St

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHS TNST
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 63.4
% of Possessions with CHS TNST
2 Point Attempt 40.9% 41.0%
3 Point Attempt 21.0% 21.0%
Player Fouled 25.5% 24.2%
Turnover 17.1% 21.9%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 12.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHS TNST
Shot Blocked 6.3% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 36.8% 32.0%