NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIUE LSU
Points 65.2 82.7
Total Points   147.9
Points From 2-Pointers 30.4 37.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 26.0
Points From Free Throws 13.0 19.3
Shooting SIUE LSU
Field Goals Made 22.5 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 54.0
Field Goal % 37.2% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.0 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 42.3% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 29.7% 42.1%
Free Throws Made 13.0 19.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 26.4
Free Throw % 73.2% 73.3%
Ball Control SIUE LSU
Rebounds 31.7 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 9.0
Turnovers 11.0 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.1
Steals 6.7 6.8
Fouls 16.1 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: SIU Edward

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIUE LSU
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.1 69.8
% of Possessions with SIUE LSU
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 25.0%
Player Fouled 18.6% 22.4%
Turnover 15.3% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIUE LSU
Shot Blocked 7.7% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 29.4%