NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIUE TNST
Points 69.8 71.2
Total Points   141.0
Points From 2-Pointers 32.8 32.8
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 19.6
Points From Free Throws 17.9 18.8
Shooting SIUE TNST
Field Goals Made 22.8 22.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 51.1
Field Goal % 39.9% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.2% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 18.5
3 Point Shooting % 30.6% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 17.9 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 24.8
Free Throw % 73.2% 76.1%
Ball Control SIUE TNST
Rebounds 35.1 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 7.8
Turnovers 10.3 12.8
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.5
Steals 6.8 5.3
Fouls 16.9 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: SIU Edward

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIUE TNST
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 65.7
% of Possessions with SIUE TNST
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 23.0%
Player Fouled 24.1% 23.9%
Turnover 14.5% 18.1%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIUE TNST
Shot Blocked 7.1% 8.4%
Offensive Rebound 30.6% 24.9%