NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COFC TOWS
Points 71.7 67.5
Total Points   139.2
Points From 2-Pointers 30.9 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 28.2 19.2
Points From Free Throws 12.6 12.6
Shooting COFC TOWS
Field Goals Made 24.8 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 57.6
Field Goal % 41.6% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 46.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 26.5 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 12.6 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 19.0
Free Throw % 72.3% 66.3%
Ball Control COFC TOWS
Rebounds 35.3 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 12.3
Turnovers 8.7 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.2
Steals 5.6 5.3
Fouls 13.1 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Col Charlestn

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COFC TOWS
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 69.7
% of Possessions with COFC TOWS
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 33.0% 23.3%
Player Fouled 21.4% 19.3%
Turnover 12.8% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken COFC TOWS
Shot Blocked 7.5% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 33.4%