NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BYU PAC
Points 93.6 60.7
Total Points   154.4
Points From 2-Pointers 40.8 31.3
Points From 3-Pointers 37.3 16.2
Points From Free Throws 15.5 13.3
Shooting BYU PAC
Field Goals Made 32.8 21.0
Field Goals Attempted 62.7 53.9
Field Goal % 52.3% 39.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 29.3 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 69.6% 43.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.4 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 33.4 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 30.2%
Free Throws Made 15.5 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 20.4
Free Throw % 72.5% 65.1%
Ball Control BYU PAC
Rebounds 44.8 25.3
Rebounds - Defensive 32.0 20.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 4.7
Turnovers 7.9 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.7 1.4
Steals 5.4 4.2
Fouls 17.8 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Pacific

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BYU PAC
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 76.4 65.5
% of Possessions with BYU PAC
2 Point Attempt 34.5% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 39.4% 23.0%
Player Fouled 20.5% 24.9%
Turnover 11.0% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BYU PAC
Shot Blocked 2.6% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 38.4% 12.9%