NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WSU USC
Points 71.0 67.0
Total Points   138.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.8 17.7
Points From Free Throws 13.7 13.4
Shooting WSU USC
Field Goals Made 25.0 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 57.2
Field Goal % 42.5% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 38.9 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 45.6% 44.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 17.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 13.7 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 19.2
Free Throw % 71.0% 69.5%
Ball Control WSU USC
Rebounds 40.0 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 8.0
Turnovers 11.3 10.2
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.0
Steals 5.0 6.3
Fouls 14.9 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: USC

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WSU USC
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 68.3
% of Possessions with WSU USC
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 49.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.8% 21.4%
Player Fouled 21.1% 21.2%
Turnover 16.1% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WSU USC
Shot Blocked 7.1% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 32.1% 22.2%