NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WSU UTAH
Points 72.6 69.9
Total Points   142.5
Points From 2-Pointers 41.2 36.8
Points From 3-Pointers 19.6 22.4
Points From Free Throws 11.8 10.6
Shooting WSU UTAH
Field Goals Made 27.1 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 63.1 60.2
Field Goal % 43.0% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.6 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 43.5 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.3% 46.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 11.8 10.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 16.7
Free Throw % 71.0% 63.4%
Ball Control WSU UTAH
Rebounds 40.3 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 29.7 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 7.7
Turnovers 8.6 9.3
Blocked Shots 4.5 3.1
Steals 4.6 4.6
Fouls 14.7 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WSU UTAH
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 73.2 69.6
% of Possessions with WSU UTAH
2 Point Attempt 52.4% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 25.9%
Player Fouled 19.6% 20.6%
Turnover 12.1% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken WSU UTAH
Shot Blocked 5.3% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 20.6%