NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BYU PEPP
Points 85.3 66.5
Total Points   151.8
Points From 2-Pointers 41.6 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 30.5 17.7
Points From Free Throws 13.2 13.0
Shooting BYU PEPP
Field Goals Made 31.0 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 56.8
Field Goal % 51.4% 41.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.8 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 60.3% 45.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.2 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 25.7 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 39.5% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 13.2 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 18.6
Free Throw % 72.5% 69.8%
Ball Control BYU PEPP
Rebounds 38.3 30.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.8 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 7.4
Turnovers 8.6 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.4 1.8
Steals 5.1 3.9
Fouls 16.8 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: BYU

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BYU PEPP
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.6 68.1
% of Possessions with BYU PEPP
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 50.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 21.8%
Player Fouled 19.9% 23.7%
Turnover 12.2% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BYU PEPP
Shot Blocked 3.1% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 29.4% 20.4%