NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHS NW
Points 60.1 79.8
Total Points   139.8
Points From 2-Pointers 29.5 40.4
Points From 3-Pointers 15.8 24.3
Points From Free Throws 14.7 15.1
Shooting CHS NW
Field Goals Made 20.1 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 49.4 54.3
Field Goal % 40.6% 52.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.4% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 17.6 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 41.8%
Free Throws Made 14.7 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 20.0
Free Throw % 70.5% 75.6%
Ball Control CHS NW
Rebounds 28.0 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 19.6 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 9.2
Turnovers 12.6 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.5
Steals 5.8 6.7
Fouls 17.0 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Northwestern

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHS NW
Total Possessions 66.5
Effective Scoring Chances 62.3 66.5
% of Possessions with CHS NW
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 25.2%
Player Fouled 21.3% 25.5%
Turnover 19.0% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHS NW
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 31.9%