NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHS COOK
Points 69.0 67.8
Total Points   136.8
Points From 2-Pointers 30.3 38.3
Points From 3-Pointers 16.9 14.0
Points From Free Throws 21.8 15.6
Shooting CHS COOK
Field Goals Made 20.8 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 48.9 54.2
Field Goal % 42.5% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 31.0 39.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 4.7
3 Pointers Attempted 17.9 14.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 21.8 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 31.0 20.5
Free Throw % 70.5% 75.9%
Ball Control CHS COOK
Rebounds 35.1 31.4
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 21.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 10.3
Turnovers 14.0 13.2
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.1
Steals 8.8 8.1
Fouls 15.6 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHS COOK
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 67.5
% of Possessions with CHS COOK
2 Point Attempt 36.9% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 21.3% 17.4%
Player Fouled 25.3% 22.1%
Turnover 19.9% 18.8%
Opponent Steal 11.6% 12.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHS COOK
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 36.9% 31.2%